The Close

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The Close · The Open · The Long Desk · Archive · Research · Top Stocks
Fri, 9 Oct 2026
1420 companies · 1441 sector slots · 20 sectors · 29 below Rs1000cr and not scanned · long-term lens

Trend Spotlight

RBI hiked the repo rate 25bps to 5.50% on Oct 7 -- its first hike since Feb 2023 -- shifting stance to 'calibrated tightening'.

The MPC's unanimous move ends four straight holds at 5.25% and comes alongside a raised FY27 CPI projection (5.2%, up from a pre-meeting 5.1%) and a raised GDP growth projection (7.1%, up from 6.7%). The RBI cited elevated crude, geopolitical tensions, firm global bond yields and renewed domestic inflation (August CPI at 4.82%) as drivers. This is a genuine regime shift in the rate backdrop, not noise -- the next MPC meeting is Dec 2-4, and it now runs alongside a hawkish US Fed (3.75-4.00% since Sept 16, next decision Oct 27-28).

Market Overview

IndexClosePoints ChangeP/EP/B
Nifty 50 22,520.45 ▲ +288.65 ▲ +1.30% 19.27 2.77
Nifty Next 50 68,166.70 ▲ +552.20 ▲ +0.82% 17.86 3.27
Nifty 500 21,866.65 ▲ +250.50 ▲ +1.16% 21.56 3.06
Nifty Bank 55,256.65 ▲ +741.60 ▲ +1.36% 13.10 1.66
NIFTY Midcap 100 58,787.30 ▲ +904.80 ▲ +1.56% 27.73 3.74
▲ 1649 advancing ■ 30 unchanged ▼ 993 declining of 2672 equities, vs the 2026-10-08 close
Cash market, ₹ crore
FII / FPI net
▼ -3,568.90
bought 10,374 · sold 13,943
DII net
▲ +4,743.26
bought 15,627 · sold 10,883
FII / FPI DII
FII / DII daily net cash flow · ₹ crore · scroll to zoom, drag to pan

Source: NSE ind_close_all_20261009 (levels, index P/E and P/B) and the full-market bhavcopy (breadth).

Index P/E from NSE's official daily index file.

Sector performance

This session's index move, next to the desk's standing stance. The stance is a valuation-and-quality reading over years — it does not move because an index had a good day. Sectors with no listed NSE index show — for the session columns; the stance still applies.

SectorIndexSession Idx P/EStance
Information Technology Nifty IT · 15 researched 28,574.90 ▲ +3.02% 18.0 WATCH
FMCG Nifty FMCG · 8 researched 44,864.25 ▲ +2.20% 31.1 WATCH
Automobiles Nifty Auto · 37 researched 24,859.90 ▲ +1.42% 28.9 WATCH
Banks Nifty Bank · 6 researched 55,256.65 ▲ +1.36% 13.1 WATCH
Financial Services Nifty Financial Services · 12 researched 24,968.50 ▲ +1.33% 15.3 WATCH
Hospitality & Tourism Nifty India Tourism · 9 researched 7,478.75 ▲ +1.17% 85.2 ACCUMULATE
Metals & Mining Nifty Metal · 19 researched 12,000.75 ▲ +1.10% 15.7 WATCH
Healthcare & Hospitals Nifty Healthcare Index · 10 researched 15,855.55 ▲ +1.09% 41.3 WATCH
Realty Nifty Realty · 4 researched 803.95 ▲ +0.92% 34.0 WATCH
Pharmaceuticals Nifty Pharma · 27 researched 25,962.05 ▲ +0.54% 40.2 WATCH
Energy & Power Nifty Energy · 18 researched 35,786.50 ▲ +0.38% 14.2 WATCH
Chemicals no listed index · 8 researched — — — ACCUMULATE
Construction & Materials no listed index · 11 researched — — — ACCUMULATE
Capital Goods no listed index · 17 researched — — — WATCH
Commercial Services no listed index · 8 researched — — — WATCH
Logistics & Transport no listed index · 6 researched — — — WATCH
Packaging & Plastics no listed index · 2 researched — — — WATCH
Retail & Consumer no listed index · 4 researched — — — WATCH
Telecom & Media no listed index · 5 researched — — — WATCH
Textiles & Apparel no listed index · 6 researched — — — WATCH

Movers in the universe

Largest moves among the 1413 tracked names this session, against the 2026-10-08 close.

CompanyCallPrev CloseMove
R Systems International Ltd RSYSTEMS HOLD ₹242.85 ₹274.30 ▲ +12.95%
Inox Green Energy Services Ltd INOXGREEN HOLD ₹115.08 ₹128.92 ▲ +12.03%
Sundaram Clayton Ltd SUNCLAY AVOID ₹1,100.80 ₹1,224.40 ▲ +11.23%
AVT Natural Products Ltd AVTNPL HOLD ₹85.45 ₹94.78 ▲ +10.92%
Ujaas Energy Ltd UEL AVOID ₹195.40 ₹214.94 ▲ +10.00%
Indokem Ltd INDOKEM AVOID ₹692.80 ₹619.10 ▼ -10.64%
BN Agrochem Ltd BNAGROCHEM HOLD ₹199.39 ₹179.56 ▼ -9.95%
Sundrop Brands Ltd SUNDROP HOLD ₹743.55 ₹682.10 ▼ -8.26%
Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd HCG AVOID ₹638.75 ₹589.20 ▼ -7.76%
India Glycols Ltd INDIAGLYCO HOLD ₹356.90 ₹329.60 ▼ -7.65%

Set aside as undetermined: MOLDTKPAC (▼ -49.95%). A move this large over one session is usually a bonus, split or demerger rather than a price change, and a close-only series cannot tell the two apart — so it is neither listed as a mover nor quietly dropped.

Calls this session

A change to anything but AVOID publishes only after two consecutive sessions say the same thing; AVOID publishes at once.

Published this session (16)

new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.23/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.37/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: price, sector
Unconfirmed: price, sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.48/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 3.84/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 3.97/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector, news
Unconfirmed: sector, news not checked — Weighted average rating 4.31/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: price, sector
Unconfirmed: price, sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.24/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: price, sector
Unconfirmed: price, sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.39/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: price, sector
Unconfirmed: price, sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.42/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.06/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.14/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.16/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.

and 4 more — full list on the site.

Awaiting a second session (23)

TickerClosePublished PendingNote
ABBOTINDIA ₹26,000.00 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
AGI ₹770.45 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
BBTC ₹1,222.10 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
BEL ₹368.15 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
CAMPUS ₹197.00 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
DALMIASUG ₹435.55 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
EMMVEE ₹300.05 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
FERMENTA ₹517.55 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
GILLETTE ₹7,100.50 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
GOKULAGRO ₹206.74 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
GRAUWEIL ₹81.32 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
HAL ₹4,655.60 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
HBLENGINE ₹719.05 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
IBULLSLTD ₹36.62 BUY → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
INDOTECH ₹3,121.70 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
KIRLPNU ₹667.25 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
NAUKRI ₹1,219.00 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
NRBBEARING ₹524.95 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
PARACABLES ₹55.85 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
PREMIERENE ₹895.35 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
SKIPPER ₹530.25 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
TTKHLTCARE ₹1,016.60 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
VADILALIND ₹7,162.00 BUY → HOLD if next session holds

Top Stories

Vadilal Industries' related-party supply pact with promoter entity lapses as India Ratings puts its debt on negative watch FMCG

Vadilal's 10-year related-party supply agreement with promoter entity Vadilal Enterprises expired Sept 30 and could not be renewed Oct 1 for lack of public-shareholder approval; a revised 12-month version awaits an Oct 27 EGM vote. Separately, India Ratings placed Vadilal's bank-loan facilities on 'Rating Watch with Negative Implications' on Sept 23, and a family dispute over the 'Vadilal' brand remains active. Credible, unresolved governance/RPT risk sitting right ahead of the pending BUY->HOLD call.

VADILALIND

Supreme Court recalls its own Rs4,655cr Singampatti lease-rent observation against Bombay Burmah FMCG

The Supreme Court's Aug 19 order recalled an observation it had made in May against BBTC over the Singampatti tea estate, on the grounds the figure was never the subject of formal notice or a hearing on the merits. BBTC had already exited plantation operations and handed the estate to the Tamil Nadu Forest Dept in July. A smaller ~Rs231.9cr demand remains separately under re-quantification at the Madras High Court, so the underlying dispute isn't fully closed, but the headline contingent-liability figure is no longer an operative court finding.

BBTC

Aavas Financiers' CFO/CRO exits confirmed as CVC-directed, tied to an NHB loan-classification probe -- not routine turnover Financial Services

Majority shareholder CVC Capital Partners asked Aavas' President & CFO and President & CRO to step down in June following an NHB probe into loan-classification discrepancies, not the ordinary attrition the resignations might otherwise look like. ICRA and CARE have placed AA ratings on rating watch, and the named replacements (CFO and CRO) are both interim, one-year appointments -- the falsifier (permanent replacements plus a resolved watch) isn't met, keeping the governance overhang behind the pending AVOID->HOLD-adjacent watch live.

AAVAS

Jubilant FoodWorks' Domino's India LFL growth recovers to 4.1% in Q2 FY27, from 2.5% in Q1 Hospitality & Tourism

Jubilant's early-October Q2 FY27 business update shows Domino's India like-for-like growth improving sequentially to 4.1%, still short of management's 5-7% target, alongside 88 net new stores and 11.9% consolidated revenue growth. This partially supports the open claim that the Q1 deceleration was temporary and recovering -- the stated falsifier (no sequential improvement) did not trigger -- though the stock still fell over 4% on the print and the figures are a provisional update pending the detailed November results.

JUBLFOOD

GPPL's Gujarat Maritime Board letter is a procedural comfort letter, not a concession-extension approval Logistics & Transport

GPPL received a comfort letter from the GMB on Aug 26 allowing it to proceed with its concession-extension request, but this is explicitly not an approval -- the company still has until roughly late November to submit a full historical-performance and investment business plan. The Rs17,000cr MoU for expansion is itself non-binding and contingent on the extension being granted. The claim's conditionality is unchanged.

GPPL

Sector Scorecard

Entry score is 40% cheap-vs-history + 25% quality trend + 20% news catalyst + 15% technicals, for the 5 sectors with a researched catalyst. The other 15 show —: no catalyst was researched for them, so their score renormalises over the remaining three inputs rather than assuming a neutral headline. ≥62 accumulate · 45–61 watch · <45 avoid.

SectorStanceEntryCheap QualityTechNews IndexIdx P/EB/W/H/A
Information Technology 75 scanned · 15 researched WATCH 61.5 62.8 78.5 29.6 — ▲ +3.02% 18.0 0/9/57/9
Banks 40 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 48.1 41.8 52.3 58.3 — ▲ +1.36% 13.1 1/0/30/9
Pharmaceuticals 88 scanned · 27 researched WATCH 48.8 26.0 71.5 71.5 — ▲ +0.54% 40.2 0/16/58/14
Automobiles 109 scanned · 37 researched WATCH 58.0 46.3 78.3 55.6 — ▲ +1.42% 28.9 10/18/70/11
FMCG 104 scanned · 8 researched WATCH 57.5 58.7 68.9 45.0 +0 ▲ +2.20% 31.1 3/20/61/20
Metals & Mining 83 scanned · 19 researched WATCH 57.4 49.5 67.5 61.4 — ▲ +1.10% 15.7 6/9/50/18
Realty 39 scanned · 4 researched WATCH 56.2 66.8 52.0 34.8 — ▲ +0.92% 34.0 1/1/15/22
Energy & Power 84 scanned · 18 researched WATCH 58.4 59.5 63.5 58.3 +0 ▲ +0.38% 14.2 0/7/44/33
Financial Services 149 scanned · 5 ranked elsewhere · 12 researched WATCH 55.4 68.0 44.5 48.4 -0 ▲ +1.33% 15.3 0/2/98/49
Healthcare & Hospitals 59 scanned · 16 ranked elsewhere · 10 researched WATCH 57.8 46.0 73.0 64.0 — ▲ +1.09% 41.3 3/10/40/6
Hospitality & Tourism 38 scanned · 9 researched ACCUMULATE 63.6 72.3 69.0 48.0 +0 ▲ +1.17% 85.2 1/6/21/10
Chemicals 102 scanned · 8 researched ACCUMULATE 62.7 62.7 67.8 54.2 — — — 2/11/62/27
Construction & Materials 126 scanned · 11 researched ACCUMULATE 64.9 77.0 61.6 38.3 — — — 5/11/69/41
Capital Goods 103 scanned · 17 researched WATCH 53.3 36.9 79.0 54.0 — — — 0/15/69/19
Textiles & Apparel 47 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 55.9 48.7 62.6 64.0 — — — 4/3/26/14
Retail & Consumer 66 scanned · 4 researched WATCH 58.5 53.5 68.3 55.5 — — — 1/13/33/19
Packaging & Plastics 33 scanned · 2 researched WATCH 57.9 50.0 65.3 66.4 — — — 2/4/19/8
Logistics & Transport 26 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 48.4 33.9 69.3 50.3 +0 — — 0/3/16/7
Telecom & Media 33 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 52.9 50.0 59.8 49.0 — — — 3/2/14/14
Commercial Services 37 scanned · 8 researched WATCH 54.7 54.2 52.5 59.8 — — — 1/1/20/15

Source: data/verdicts.json × NSE sector index closes.

Stocks to Watch

Split evenly across large/mid/small/micro cap so this list isn't one tier's picks — new calls first, then the highest long-term composites within each. Micro-cap names are boxed and flagged Highly Volatile — worth watching, not a call to buy — since their price swings run about twice every other tier's. Each card shows the figures that selected it — open the desk for the full six-lens panel.

new call this session
unconfirmed: sector
P/E in the 31th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 35.2% (up 11.2pt over 5y)
Composite 71.5 Mkt Cap 97,979 cr · Large P/E 17.71 ROCE 35.2% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
unconfirmed: price, sector
composite 71.0 on quality, timing, valuation
Composite 71.0 Mkt Cap 150,923 cr · Large P/E 20.32 ROCE 35.9% Piotroski 3/3
new call this session
P/E in the 27th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 17.0% (up 20.0pt over 5y) · Piotroski 7/9
Composite 78.2 Mkt Cap 17,987 cr · Mid P/E 33.58 ROCE 17.0% Piotroski 7/9
new call this session
unconfirmed: price, sector
Piotroski 8/9 · -27.3% off its 52-week high
Composite 68.8 Mkt Cap 19,119 cr · Mid P/E 30.83 ROCE 60.8% Piotroski 8/9
new call this session
P/E in the 6th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 14.8% (up 7.8pt over 5y)
Composite 83.9 Mkt Cap 8,378 cr · Small P/E 43.86 ROCE 14.8% Piotroski 5/9
new call this session
unconfirmed: price, sector
ROCE 22.6% (up 9.6pt over 5y) · Piotroski 7/8
Composite 82.5 Mkt Cap 6,428 cr · Small P/E 25.1 ROCE 22.6% Piotroski 7/8
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 10th percentile of its own 3-year range · -45.5% off its 52-week high
Composite 74.8 Mkt Cap 1,014 cr · Micro P/E 13.96 ROCE 35.4% Piotroski 4/8
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 89th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 14.6% (up 10.6pt over 5y) · Piotroski 7/9
Composite 61.8 Mkt Cap 4,960 cr · Micro P/E 42.74 ROCE 14.6% Piotroski 7/9

Lens Weights Recalibrated

Every Sunday, each lens's weight is re-tilted from its prior on all evidence to date of whether its ratings predicted subsequent returns, measured separately within each cap tier (data/lens_ic.json). Thin evidence moves a weight a little, a consistent edge more -- see METHODOLOGY.md. Every past change stays on the record in data/lens_weight_changes.json.

TierLensWeightt-stat Hit rateWeeks measured
Large Quality 1.5 → 1.4091 -0.243656%7.2
Large Financial Health 1.5 → 1.979 1.511969%7.2
Large Value 1.2 → 1.1404 -0.199250%7.2
Large Earnings Quality 1.0 → 1.2998 1.38572%7.2
Large Growth Outlook 0.8 → 0.861 0.307553%3.4
Large Momentum 0.5 → 0.6138 0.982372%7.2
Mid Quality 1.5 → 1.3032 -0.537458%7.2
Mid Financial Health 1.5 → 1.8378 0.970361%7.2
Mid Value 1.2 → 1.113 -0.29264%7.2
Mid Earnings Quality 1.0 → 0.9049 -0.385156%7.2
Mid Growth Outlook 0.8 → 0.7399 -0.302750%0.4
Mid Momentum 0.5 → 0.6691 1.645572%7.2
Small Quality 1.5 → 1.8524 1.019763%5.4
Small Financial Health 1.5 → 1.7831 0.794256%5.4
Small Value 1.2 → 1.1041 -0.322456%5.4
Small Earnings Quality 1.0 → 0.8708 -0.528652%5.4
Small Growth Outlook 0.8 → 1.0057 1.13789%1.8
Small Momentum 0.5 → 0.6938 2.066974%5.4
Micro Quality 1.5 → 1.9052 1.209274%5.4
Micro Financial Health 1.5 → 1.7684 0.748959%5.4
Micro Value 1.2 → 1.0792 -0.408456%5.4
Micro Earnings Quality 1.0 → 1.0287 0.11556%5.4
Micro Growth Outlook 0.8 → 0.7073 -0.472369%2.6
Micro Momentum 0.5 → 0.7238 2.89493%5.4

How We Evaluate

MetricWhy it is in the frameworkSource
Return on capital, level and trendDurable high ROCE predicts future returns; the trend separates a moat from a good year Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Gross profitability (GP/assets)As predictive as book-to-market, and less prone to the value trap Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Piotroski F-scoreA nine-signal accounting checklist that separates real improvers from statistically cheap traps Piotroski 2000 JAR
Cash-flow-to-net-profitAccrual-heavy profit reverts; cash-backed profit persists Sloan 1996 TAR
P/E versus the stock's own historyCheap relative to itself, not to a peer set that may be expensive as a whole Basu 1977 JF
Book-to-marketThe value premium, in its original form Fama–French 1992 JF
EV/EBITDACapital-structure-neutral, so it compares a leveraged firm to an unleveraged one Practitioner standard
Altman Z and interest coverageDistressed firms have delivered lower, not higher, returns — screen them out rather than chase them Altman 1968 JF; Campbell/Hilscher/Szilagyi 2008 JF
52-week-high proximity, 200-DMANearness to the high has predicted continuation — but momentum crashes, so never alone George & Hwang 2004 JF; Daniel & Moskowitz 2016 JFE
Promoter pledgePledged promoter holding is a governance red flag ahead of a forced sale Not currently available from either source — no penalty is applied

Full derivation in METHODOLOGY.md.