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The Close · The Open · The Long Desk · Archive · Research
Fri, 14 Aug 2026
173 companies · 194 sector slots · 11 sectors · long-term lens

Trend Spotlight

Infosys confirms an FY27 guidance cut, and analysts expect HCLTech and Wipro to follow at Q2 prints -- the clearest evidence yet behind the IT sector's guidance-caution thesis.

Infosys narrowed its FY27 constant-currency revenue growth guidance from 1.5-3.5% to 1.5-3.0%, and Motilal Oswal, JPMorgan and Kotak all expect HCLTech and Wipro to trim guidance further at Q2 FY27 results rather than raise it. For a long-term holder this matters because it is the first confirmed cut, not just analyst caution, behind an open thesis the desk has carried since Aug 10 -- but INFY shares actually rose on the day, and order books remain strong (record HCLTech bookings, a $9.5bn TCS book), so this reads as confirmation of an existing, already-priced concern rather than a fresh shock.

Day ahead

GIFT Nifty points to a flat-to-slightly-lower open; the Fed's September rate path is genuinely disputed across sources.

GIFT Nifty levels suggest Nifty may open roughly 27 points lower after US markets closed slightly weaker Friday (S&P -0.2%, Dow -108pts, Nasdaq -0.3%) on soft consumer-sentiment data, though all three still logged a third straight weekly gain. Reporting is split on the Sept 15-16 FOMC outcome -- one set of sources cites ~82% odds of a hike on persistent inflation, a separate and seemingly more recent set cites ~65% odds of a cut on a weak July jobs report and softer CPI -- so this is best treated as unresolved rather than picked one way. Elevated Brent (~$88/bbl) and India's own July CPI print (4.45%, a 19-month high) remain the domestic backdrop after RBI held rates at 5.25% with a neutral stance in August.

Reporting today

No tracked name reports today.

Coming up

Source: NSE event calendar, filtered to the 173 tracked names.

Market Overview

IndexClosePoints ChangeP/EP/B
Nifty 50 24,366.00 ▼ -29.85 ▼ -0.12% 20.56 2.97
Nifty Next 50 74,486.55 ▼ -240.10 ▼ -0.32% 19.81 3.45
Nifty 500 23,594.90 ▼ -63.20 ▼ -0.27% 22.94 3.32
Nifty Bank 57,491.10 ▼ -144.15 ▼ -0.25% 13.60 1.72
NIFTY Midcap 100 63,782.15 ▼ -339.40 ▼ -0.53% 30.81 4.45
▲ 955 advancing ■ 26 unchanged ▼ 1477 declining of 2458 equities, vs the 2026-08-13 close
Cash market, ₹ crore
FII / FPI net
▲ +508.12
bought 12,854 · sold 12,346
DII net
▲ +356.40
bought 14,295 · sold 13,939

Source: NSE ind_close_all_20260814 (levels, index P/E and P/B) and the full-market bhavcopy (breadth).

Since We Flagged

The desk's track record — the FIRST call made on each standing name, against its call today. Entry price is the close on the day of that first call, read from the cached bhavcopy for that date. "Unchanged" means the original call still stands.

CompanyFirst flaggedVerdict then Verdict nowAt flagNow Move
Gland Pharma LtdGLAND Wed, 5 Aug 2026 QUALITY-WAIT unchanged ₹2,545.10 ₹2,970.20 ▲ +16.7%
Sapphire Foods India LtdSAPPHIRE Wed, 5 Aug 2026 AVOID unchanged ₹202.52 ₹234.72 ▲ +15.9%
Devyani International LtdDEVYANI Wed, 5 Aug 2026 AVOID unchanged ₹125.09 ₹143.76 ▲ +14.9%
Godrej Consumer Products LtdGODREJCP Wed, 5 Aug 2026 HOLD unchanged ₹1,069.00 ₹934.30 ▼ -12.6%
Hitachi Energy India LtdPOWERINDIA Wed, 5 Aug 2026 HOLD unchanged ₹32,400.00 ₹35,700.00 ▲ +10.2%
Power Finance Corporation LtdPFC Wed, 5 Aug 2026 HOLD unchanged ₹418.00 ₹376.00 ▼ -10.0%
Bosch LtdBOSCHLTD Wed, 5 Aug 2026 QUALITY-WAIT unchanged ₹42,920.00 ₹47,100.00 ▲ +9.7%
Aegis Logistics LtdAEGISLOG Wed, 5 Aug 2026 QUALITY-WAIT HOLD ₹1,395.80 ₹1,265.40 ▼ -9.3%
NLC India LtdNLCINDIA Wed, 5 Aug 2026 AVOID unchanged ₹303.30 ₹275.40 ▼ -9.2%
Samvardhana Motherson International LtdMOTHERSON Wed, 5 Aug 2026 BUY HOLD ₹154.35 ₹168.30 ▲ +9.0%
BLS International Services LtdBLS Wed, 5 Aug 2026 BUY unchanged ₹255.63 ₹278.12 ▲ +8.8%
REC LtdRECLTD Wed, 5 Aug 2026 HOLD unchanged ₹366.00 ₹335.00 ▼ -8.5%

Source: data/state.json (call memory) × data/prices/<date>.json.

Top Stories

Infosys confirms FY27 guidance cut; HCLTech and Wipro seen following Information Technology

Infosys narrowed its FY27 constant-currency revenue growth guidance from 1.5-3.5% to 1.5-3.0%, and analysts at Motilal Oswal, JPMorgan and Kotak expect HCLTech and Wipro to trim guidance further at Q2 FY27 results, not raise it. It is the clearest confirmation yet of the sector's guidance-caution thesis, arriving the same day HCLTech and Infosys both flip from BUY to HOLD -- though INFY shares actually rose on the day, suggesting the market had largely priced this in already.

INFY · HCLTECH

TCS's senior-leadership exodus draws widening government and US regulatory scrutiny Information Technology

TCS's spike in senior attrition -- roughly 300 of 1,800 top leaders, about 16% over eight months versus a typical 4-5% annual rate -- shows no sign of normalizing. Karnataka's Labour Minister met the company on Aug 6 over its ~12,000-role layoff plan, India's IT ministry says it is 'keeping a watch,' and TCS separately faces a US EEOC investigation over alleged replacement of older American workers with H-1B hires. Nothing found suggests the scrutiny is easing; if anything, scope has widened.

TCS

US confirms the 2028 generic-tariff step-up is real and dated, not a rumor Pharmaceuticals

Multiple outlets confirm the US tariff schedule for generic drug imports: duty-free through August 2028, then 100% for a year, then 200% from August 2029, unless manufacturers build US plants. India supplies roughly 40% of US generic drug volume. This corroborates, rather than changes, the desk's existing read that the two-year 0% window is a deferral, not a resolution -- no exemption or cancellation has been reported for AUROPHARMA, LUPIN, or the sector broadly.

AUROPHARMA · LUPIN

Alunorte's alumina output cut proves short-lived, pressuring NALCO's rally Metals & Mining

Weeks after Norsk Hydro's Alunorte refinery cut output to 50% of capacity on a gas shortage -- a move that lifted NALCO shares roughly 8.8% and pushed alumina to a seven-week high -- Alunorte has reached a temporary gas-supply agreement and resumed ramping production. AlCircle reports Indian aluminium shares are already easing back as a result, directly testing the durability of NALCO's alumina-driven margin tailwind, though the report is single-sourced and does not yet confirm alumina prices have fully reverted.

NATIONALUM
Sources: alcircle.com

Brent's Hormuz risk premium holds through mid-August Energy & Power

Brent has stayed elevated near $87-89/bbl since the Aug 10 jump tied to Strait of Hormuz disruption risk, rather than reverting as a one-day spike -- climbing above $89 by Aug 12 as reopening talks stalled. The EIA raised its estimate of Middle East shut-in crude production and now forecasts Q3 2026 Brent averaging around $85/bbl. Sustained high crude helps upstream ENERGY names' realizations but adds to India's import bill and inflation pressure.

Sector Scorecard

Entry score is 40% cheap-vs-history + 25% quality trend + 20% news catalyst + 15% technicals, for the 4 sectors with a researched catalyst. The other 7 show : no catalyst was researched for them, so their score renormalises over the remaining three inputs rather than assuming a neutral headline. ≥62 accumulate · 45–61 watch · <45 avoid.

SectorStanceEntryCheap QualityTechNews IndexIdx P/EB/W/H/A
Information Technology 10 scanned · 4 researched ACCUMULATE 64.6 58.5 93.2 54.2 -0 ▼ -0.31% 20.0 3/2/5/0
Banks 14 scanned · 1 researched AVOID 44.6 26.3 61.3 65.7 ▼ -0.25% 13.6 1/0/13/0
Pharmaceuticals 20 scanned · 5 researched AVOID 40.2 7.8 75.2 68.1 ▼ -0.90% 41.0 2/10/7/1
Automobiles 15 scanned · 3 researched AVOID 41.0 5.0 76.0 67.0 +0 ▼ -0.63% 32.4 4/5/4/2
FMCG 15 scanned · 3 researched ACCUMULATE 83.8 90.1 94.7 49.0 ▼ -0.46% 33.8 1/6/8/0
Metals & Mining 15 scanned · 1 researched WATCH 47.5 19.8 77.1 70.0 -0 ▼ -0.71% 15.8 3/3/7/2
Realty 10 scanned WATCH 58.6 51.3 60.4 75.0 ▼ -0.31% 38.2 1/1/4/4
Energy & Power 40 scanned WATCH 56.2 48.2 69.2 62.9 +0 ▼ -0.35% 15.0 8/2/17/13
Financial Services 20 scanned · 5 ranked elsewhere · 1 researched WATCH 56.9 68.8 36.1 60.1 ▼ -0.43% 16.1 2/0/14/4
Healthcare & Hospitals 20 scanned · 16 ranked elsewhere · 5 researched AVOID 44.4 14.5 77.9 68.1 ▼ -0.46% 43.5 2/8/9/1
Hospitality & Tourism 15 scanned · 2 researched ACCUMULATE 65.7 64.0 71.3 60.8 ▼ -0.31% 94.8 4/3/4/4

Source: data/verdicts.json × NSE sector index closes.

Stocks to Watch

New calls first, then the highest long-term composites. Each shows the figures that selected it — open the desk for the full six-lens panel.

new call this session
P/E in the 99th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 30.5% (up 13.5pt over 5y)
Composite 59.4 P/E 38.18 ROCE 30.5% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
P/E in the 94th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 39.8% (up 24.8pt over 5y) · Piotroski 9/9
Composite 53.6 P/E 21.04 ROCE 39.8% Piotroski 9/9
new call this session
P/E in the 98th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 28.2% (up 3.2pt over 5y)
Composite 51.2 P/E 27.37 ROCE 28.2% Piotroski 5/9
new call this session
P/E in the 99th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 13.4% (up 7.4pt over 5y)
Composite 51.1 P/E 42.08 ROCE 13.4% Piotroski 5/9
P/E in the 7th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 19.7% (up 8.7pt over 5y) · Piotroski 7/9
Composite 88.4 P/E 43.2 ROCE 19.7% Piotroski 7/9
P/E in the 6th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 20.7% (up 31.7pt over 5y) · -28.2% off its 52-week high
Composite 86.9 P/E 26.35 ROCE 20.7% Piotroski 5/9

How We Evaluate

MetricWhy it is in the frameworkSource
Return on capital, level and trendDurable high ROCE predicts future returns; the trend separates a moat from a good year Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Gross profitability (GP/assets)As predictive as book-to-market, and less prone to the value trap Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Piotroski F-scoreA nine-signal accounting checklist that separates real improvers from statistically cheap traps Piotroski 2000 JAR
Cash-flow-to-net-profitAccrual-heavy profit reverts; cash-backed profit persists Sloan 1996 TAR
P/E versus the stock's own historyCheap relative to itself, not to a peer set that may be expensive as a whole Basu 1977 JF
Book-to-marketThe value premium, in its original form Fama–French 1992 JF
EV/EBITDACapital-structure-neutral, so it compares a leveraged firm to an unleveraged one Practitioner standard
Altman Z and interest coverageDistressed firms have delivered lower, not higher, returns — screen them out rather than chase them Altman 1968 JF; Campbell/Hilscher/Szilagyi 2008 JF
52-week-high proximity, 200-DMANearness to the high has predicted continuation — but momentum crashes, so never alone George & Hwang 2004 JF; Daniel & Moskowitz 2016 JFE
Promoter pledgePledged promoter holding is a governance red flag ahead of a forced sale Not currently available from either source — no penalty is applied

Full derivation in METHODOLOGY.md.