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The Close · The Open · The Long Desk · Archive · Research · Top Stocks
Thu, 22 Oct 2026
1395 companies · 1416 sector slots · 20 sectors · 54 below Rs1000cr and not scanned · long-term lens

Trend Spotlight

RBI shifts stance to calibrated tightening as September CPI accelerates to a five-month high, raising the repo rate to 5.50%.

On October 7 the RBI's MPC raised the repo rate 25bps to 5.50% -- its first hike since February 2023 -- and shifted its policy stance from neutral to calibrated tightening, with Governor Malhotra ruling out a near-term cut. The move followed a September CPI print of 5.54% YoY, above the RBI's own 5.2% FY27 projection and driven by a jump in food inflation; a hawkish Fed under new Chair Warsh (holding at 3.75-4.00% with its next decision due Oct 27-28) adds a second tightening headwind, a mild negative for rate-sensitive sectors like banks and a modest offsetting support for the rupee.

Day ahead

No same-day GIFT Nifty or crude/FX data found; today's backdrop is a double tightening bias (RBI + Fed), not an overnight print.

Searches for October 23 GIFT Nifty, Asian cues, crude, and USD/INR levels returned nothing dated this week, so treat today's tone as shaped by the RBI's Oct 7 stance shift and accelerating CPI rather than a fresh overnight cue. The Fed's next decision lands Oct 27-28 (markets were pricing roughly 80% odds of a hold after September's 25bp hike to 3.75-4.00%) -- worth watching for pre-positioning into that meeting.

Calls this session

A change to anything but AVOID publishes only after two consecutive sessions say the same thing; AVOID publishes at once.

Published this session (5)

new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 3.76/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
Legs gate: sector failed — Weighted average rating 4.16/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
Good business, bad price today (Value 2/5) — PEG 1.99; P/E cheaper than 20% of sector peers (P/E 25.7); EV/EBITDA 14.4, B/M 0.214. Watch for a better entry.
new
Legs gate: sector failed — Weighted average rating 3.81/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
Good business, bad price today (Value 2/5) — PEG 0.23; P/E cheaper than 38% of sector peers (P/E 18.54); EV/EBITDA 13.9, B/M 0.348. Watch for a better entry.

Awaiting a second session (29)

TickerClosePublished PendingNote
ABBOTINDIA ₹25,360.00 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
ACE ₹1,053.40 QUALITY-WAIT → BUY if next session holds
AEGISLOG ₹1,304.10 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
ALGOQUANT ₹74.48 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
BORORENEW ₹396.40 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
CERA ₹4,674.00 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
COFORGE ₹1,908.80 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
ECLERX ₹1,930.30 QUALITY-WAIT → BUY if next session holds
EMCURE ₹1,782.60 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
ENGINERSIN ₹251.30 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
GLENMARK ₹2,198.50 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
JUBLINGREA ₹609.45 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
KALYANKJIL ₹530.40 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
KARURVYSYA ₹356.05 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
KNACK ₹206.12 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
KRBL ₹354.90 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
LCL ₹567.25 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
LEMONTREE ₹110.95 BUY → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
LUPIN ₹1,922.00 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
PRIVISCL ₹3,330.60 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
SANOFICONR ₹3,262.80 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
SHARDACROP ₹659.60 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
SHUKRAPHAR ₹62.53 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
SPARC ₹173.09 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
STAR ₹998.40 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
STARCEMENT ₹162.25 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
STYLAMIND ₹3,120.80 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
TCS ₹2,506.90 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
WHEELS ₹2,108.70 QUALITY-WAIT → BUY if next session holds

Reporting today

No tracked name reports today.

Coming up

Source: NSE event calendar, filtered to the 1395 tracked names.

Market Overview

IndexClosePoints ChangeP/EP/B
Nifty 50 22,687.65 ▼ -123.70 ▼ -0.54% 19.13 2.79
Nifty Next 50 67,354.15 ▼ -301.15 ▼ -0.45% 17.47 3.24
Nifty 500 21,696.55 ▼ -141.35 ▼ -0.65% 21.11 3.04
Nifty Bank 54,925.70 ▼ -51.20 ▼ -0.09% 12.61 1.65
NIFTY Midcap 100 57,063.95 ▼ -501.90 ▼ -0.87% 26.63 3.63
▲ 697 advancing ■ 24 unchanged ▼ 1966 declining of 2687 equities, vs the 2026-10-21 close
Cash market, ₹ crore
FII / FPI net
▼ -3,458.70
bought 13,628 · sold 17,086
DII net
▲ +2,891.32
bought 16,243 · sold 13,352
FII / FPI DII
FII / DII daily net cash flow · ₹ crore · scroll to zoom, drag to pan

Source: NSE ind_close_all_20261022 (levels, index P/E and P/B) and the full-market bhavcopy (breadth).

Index P/E from NSE's official daily index file.

Since We Flagged

The desk's track record — every call it has published, scored over the stretch it actually stood: from the close on the day it was made (restated for any split or bonus) to the day the desk changed it, the name left coverage, or today. Each is set against Nifty 500 over the same window. A BUY should beat it; an AVOID should lag it.

CallCallsStanding Median moveMedian vs Nifty 500 Beat Nifty 500
BUY 640 34 ▼ -0.5% ▼ -0.0% 49%
QUALITY-WAIT 499 128 ▼ -2.5% ▼ -1.4% 36%
HOLD 1822 846 ▼ -2.5% ▼ -0.6% 44%
AVOID 865 357 ▼ -1.6% ▼ -0.7% 42%
CompanyCalled sinceCall Previous callAt callNow Movevs Nifty 500
PC Jeweller LtdPCJEWELLER Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹9.62 ₹18.07 ▲ +87.8% ▲ +95.4%
Raymond LtdRAYMOND Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹625.00 ₹1,085.70 ▲ +73.7% ▲ +81.3%
Oriental Aromatics LtdOAL Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹341.95 ₹589.40 ▲ +72.4% ▲ +79.9%
SBC Exports LtdSBC Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹38.66 ₹62.12 ▲ +60.7% ▲ +68.2%
Shanti Gold International LtdSHANTIGOLD Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹253.85 ₹394.30 ▲ +55.3% ▲ +62.9%
Kross LtdKROSS Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹202.50 ₹294.55 ▲ +45.5% ▲ +53.0%
Elitecon International LtdELITECON Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹17.13 ₹6.76 ▼ -60.5% ▼ -53.0%
D.P. Abhushan LtdDPABHUSHAN Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹1,457.20 ₹2,117.40 ▲ +45.3% ▲ +52.9%
STL Networks LtdSTLNETWORK Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹25.68 ₹37.06 ▲ +44.3% ▲ +51.9%
MV Electrosystems LtdMVELECTRO Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹574.10 ₹817.15 ▲ +42.3% ▲ +49.9%
Media Matrix Worldwide LtdMMWL Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹14.91 ₹20.83 ▲ +39.7% ▲ +47.3%
Bluspring Enterprises LtdBLUSPRING Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹111.21 ₹154.20 ▲ +38.7% ▲ +46.2%

3826 calls scored since Wed, 5 Aug 2026: 1365 standing, 1829 closed when the desk changed the call, 632 closed when the name left coverage (at its last published close). 2028 of them are the call a name was given on entering coverage, not one the desk changed to. 1353 more standing calls with history are not shown — this table is the 12 that have moved most against Nifty 500 since they were made. 22 calls published this session are not scored yet — no session to move in. 25 have no cached close at one end of their window and are not scored. 11 entry prices restated for a split or bonus inside the window (marked adj.).

Source: data/archive/<session>.json (every published call) × data/prices/<date>.json × data/market/<date>.json (Nifty 500).

Top Stories

Mahindra's SUV business is beating its own guidance -- but its 2027 EV-mix target has been quietly cut in half Automobiles

M&M's domestic SUV volumes grew ~19-20% YoY in FY26 to a record 660,276 units, beating its own mid-to-high-teens guidance, and September 2026 PV market share (13.42%) pushed past Tata Motors into second place nationally. But the company's 2027 EV-mix target -- set at 20-30% of the SUV lineup in 2024 -- was revised down to 13-17% of the PV portfolio by May 2026, with actual EV penetration still only ~11% at the time of the revision. Franchise-risk checks (recalls, governance, promoter conduct) came back clean; this is a forward-guidance credibility question specific to the EV transition, not a near-term operating concern.

M&M

TCS enters Q2 FY27 earnings with a record order pipeline, but margin pressure and the pending HOLD->BUY call remain unconfirmed Information Technology

Ahead of its Q2 FY27 results, brokerages expected $8-10bn of fresh deal wins atop a reported $12.2bn record order book and FY26 TCV of $40.7bn (+4% YoY, 5 mega deals) -- a genuinely strong pipeline. But the same preview still expected operating margin down 70-100bps YoY, and no post-results figures were available this session, leaving the pending HOLD->BUY call's confirming evidence open.

TCS

Cera's gas supply has been curtailed since March, and its Chief Business Officer is stepping down with no successor named Construction & Materials

Sabarmati Gas has restricted Cera's gas supply to up to 50% of contracted volumes since March 2026, a real input-cost and production risk even as management reaffirmed FY27 growth and margin targets. Separately, CBO Ramesh Baliga is set to step down sometime in 2026 with no reason or successor disclosed in the single report found -- worth tracking, not yet a confirmed governance flag.

CERA

Sharda Cropchem's profit fell sharply in Q1 FY27 as China-linked costs bite and registration approvals slow Chemicals

Despite FY27 guidance reaffirmed at 10-15% revenue growth, Sharda Cropchem's Q1 FY27 profit declined sharply YoY on margin compression and rising China-linked input costs. With 1,068 registration applications still pending as of September 2025 and approval timelines described as slowing, the registration-led growth model faces a real, not-yet-guided-down risk.

SHARDACROP

Sector Scorecard

Entry score is 40% cheap-vs-history + 25% quality trend + 20% news catalyst + 15% technicals, for the 4 sectors with a researched catalyst. The other 16 show —: no catalyst was researched for them, so their score renormalises over the remaining three inputs rather than assuming a neutral headline. ≥62 accumulate · 45–61 watch · <45 avoid.

SectorStanceEntryCheap QualityTechNews IndexIdx P/EB/W/H/A
Information Technology 74 scanned · 14 researched WATCH 60.8 62.4 78.6 27.1 — ▼ -1.05% 19.9 0/9/56/9
Banks 40 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 50.6 49.2 52.3 53.7 -0 ▼ -0.09% 12.6 1/0/30/9
Pharmaceuticals 87 scanned · 24 researched WATCH 49.0 29.2 71.8 64.0 — ▲ +0.12% 39.6 0/12/63/12
Automobiles 107 scanned · 31 researched WATCH 58.9 52.1 78.6 44.4 — ▼ -0.73% 29.1 10/14/73/10
FMCG 103 scanned · 10 researched ACCUMULATE 64.6 71.0 69.0 40.0 — ▼ -1.41% 29.8 0/20/63/20
Metals & Mining 79 scanned · 15 researched WATCH 54.9 54.0 67.5 43.0 +0 ▼ -0.52% 15.3 0/6/53/20
Realty 37 scanned · 3 researched WATCH 60.2 76.7 52.0 29.6 — ▼ -0.30% 33.9 2/2/13/20
Energy & Power 82 scanned · 11 researched WATCH 57.9 60.5 63.8 41.1 — ▼ -1.05% 13.9 4/4/41/33
Financial Services 146 scanned · 5 ranked elsewhere · 10 researched WATCH 58.9 74.8 44.2 41.3 — ▼ -0.14% 14.8 0/3/90/53
Healthcare & Hospitals 57 scanned · 16 ranked elsewhere · 11 researched WATCH 58.8 50.8 73.0 56.2 — ▲ +0.05% 40.4 4/10/37/6
Hospitality & Tourism 38 scanned · 8 researched ACCUMULATE 67.8 79.3 69.0 34.9 — ▲ +1.10% 84.9 3/5/20/10
Chemicals 101 scanned · 7 researched ACCUMULATE 62.9 68.0 67.8 41.0 — — — 3/9/62/27
Construction & Materials 124 scanned · 10 researched ACCUMULATE 62.9 81.4 61.6 32.9 +0 — — 6/9/69/40
Capital Goods 102 scanned · 16 researched WATCH 57.3 48.1 79.3 45.3 — — — 0/12/70/20
Textiles & Apparel 47 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 55.0 50.0 62.6 55.6 — — — 0/3/30/14
Retail & Consumer 64 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 60.3 60.5 68.7 45.9 — — — 0/8/38/18
Packaging & Plastics 32 scanned · 2 researched WATCH 60.2 60.0 64.8 53.2 — — — 1/3/19/9
Logistics & Transport 26 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 52.9 47.5 69.3 39.9 — — — 0/2/18/6
Telecom & Media 33 scanned · 3 researched WATCH 50.5 50.0 59.8 36.8 +0 — — 3/2/14/14
Commercial Services 37 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 48.5 50.0 52.5 37.6 — — — 0/1/21/15

Source: data/verdicts.json × NSE sector index closes.

Stocks to Watch

Split evenly across large/mid/small/micro cap so this list isn't one tier's picks — new calls first, then the highest long-term composites within each. Micro-cap names are boxed and flagged Highly Volatile — worth watching, not a call to buy — since their price swings run about twice every other tier's. Each card shows the figures that selected it — open the desk for the full six-lens panel.

new call this session
P/E in the 53th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 39.5% (up 22.5pt over 5y) · -26.0% off its 52-week high
Composite 71.9 Mkt Cap 123,631 cr · Large P/E 50.66 ROCE 39.5% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
P/E in the 73th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 20.5% (up 7.5pt over 5y)
Composite 62.4 Mkt Cap 386,162 cr · Large P/E 66.17 ROCE 20.5% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
P/E in the 13th percentile of its own 3-year range · -25.7% off its 52-week high
Composite 80.8 Mkt Cap 25,157 cr · Mid P/E 51.14 ROCE 13.1% Piotroski 6/8
new call this session
unconfirmed: sector
P/E in the 86th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 20.8% (up 9.8pt over 5y)
Composite 66.9 Mkt Cap 20,118 cr · Mid P/E 34.46 ROCE 20.8% Piotroski 4/9
new call this session
P/E in the 77th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 26.6% (up 2.6pt over 5y)
Composite 67.8 Mkt Cap 5,285 cr · Small P/E 31.1 ROCE 26.6% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
ROCE 33.2% (up 17.2pt over 5y) · -29.0% off its 52-week high
Composite 56.7 Mkt Cap 8,016 cr · Small P/E 40.93 ROCE 33.2% Piotroski 6/8
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 1th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 23.7% (up 18.7pt over 5y) · -42.5% off its 52-week high
Composite 79.6 Mkt Cap 2,535 cr · Micro P/E 18.54 ROCE 23.7% Piotroski 5/8
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 53th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 19.7% (down 3.3pt over 5y)
Composite 66.3 Mkt Cap 3,492 cr · Micro P/E 78.16 ROCE 19.7% Piotroski 3/9

How We Evaluate

MetricWhy it is in the frameworkSource
Return on capital, level and trendDurable high ROCE predicts future returns; the trend separates a moat from a good year Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Gross profitability (GP/assets)As predictive as book-to-market, and less prone to the value trap Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Piotroski F-scoreA nine-signal accounting checklist that separates real improvers from statistically cheap traps Piotroski 2000 JAR
Cash-flow-to-net-profitAccrual-heavy profit reverts; cash-backed profit persists Sloan 1996 TAR
P/E versus the stock's own historyCheap relative to itself, not to a peer set that may be expensive as a whole Basu 1977 JF
Book-to-marketThe value premium, in its original form Fama–French 1992 JF
EV/EBITDACapital-structure-neutral, so it compares a leveraged firm to an unleveraged one Practitioner standard
Altman Z and interest coverageDistressed firms have delivered lower, not higher, returns — screen them out rather than chase them Altman 1968 JF; Campbell/Hilscher/Szilagyi 2008 JF
52-week-high proximity, 200-DMANearness to the high has predicted continuation — but momentum crashes, so never alone George & Hwang 2004 JF; Daniel & Moskowitz 2016 JFE
Promoter pledgePledged promoter holding is a governance red flag ahead of a forced sale Not currently available from either source — no penalty is applied

Full derivation in METHODOLOGY.md.