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The Close · The Open · The Long Desk · Archive · Research · Top Stocks
Thu, 15 Oct 2026
1420 companies · 1441 sector slots · 20 sectors · 29 below Rs1000cr and not scanned · long-term lens

Trend Spotlight

September CPI lands at 5.54% YoY, above RBI's own revised 5.2% FY27 projection, hardening the case for calibrated tightening

MoSPI's Oct 12 release showed headline inflation jumping to 5.54% YoY from 4.83% in August, with food inflation at 7.74% driven by onion prices up ~108% YoY. The print lands five days after RBI's first hike since Feb 2023 (repo to 5.50%, stance shifted to 'calibrated tightening'), and coming in above the Reuters poll median of 5.40% removes the easiest argument for a near-term reversal -- rate-sensitive sectors (banks, NBFCs, realty) now face a central bank with less room to cut before the Dec 2-4 MPC. Sources disagree on whether the print beat or marginally missed consensus.

Day ahead

US equities closed last week near record highs with the Fed leaning against an October hike; no reliable GIFT Nifty or confirmed Oct 15/16 close was found for this morning's direction.

The S&P 500 hit a record 7,811.54 on Oct 9 before easing 0.1% to 7,807.24 on Oct 12; Fed officials including NY Fed's John Williams and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson have signalled a preference to wait for more data before another hike, with prediction markets (snapshot Oct 2, now stale) pricing an 82% hold vs 19% hike for the Oct 27-28 FOMC. Domestically, last week was choppy but net higher -- Nifty +1.30% Oct 9, then -0.70% Oct 12 -- with RBI's Oct 7 hike to 5.50% and the 'calibrated tightening' stance, reinforced by the hot September CPI print above, now the dominant local overhang into today's session. Searches for GIFT Nifty levels and an Oct 15/16 close returned only stale 2025 results, so overnight direction for today's open could not be confirmed.

Calls this session

A change to anything but AVOID publishes only after two consecutive sessions say the same thing; AVOID publishes at once.

Sector stance changed (1)

Published this session (3)

new
unconfirmed: sector
Unconfirmed: sector not checked — Weighted average rating 4.36/5 including quality and value — the rare combination.
new
Good business, bad price today (Value 2/5) — PEG 1.99; P/E cheaper than 55% of sector peers (P/E 47.94); EV/EBITDA 30.9, B/M 0.091. Watch for a better entry.
new
Good business, bad price today (Value 2/5) — PEG 1.49; P/E cheaper than 44% of sector peers (P/E 32.9); EV/EBITDA 25.1, B/M 0.144. Watch for a better entry.

Awaiting a second session (29)

TickerClosePublished PendingNote
AJANTPHARM ₹3,359.40 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
ARTEMISMED ₹303.00 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
BLUEJET ₹519.45 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
BORORENEW ₹427.55 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
CERA ₹5,046.00 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
CPPLUS ₹4,109.10 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
DCBBANK ₹210.79 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
ECLERX ₹1,998.20 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
FEDFINA ₹157.58 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
FSL ₹281.75 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
GODREJAGRO ₹620.20 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
IBULLSLTD ₹35.83 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
IKS ₹1,718.00 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
JSWDULUX ₹3,036.60 HOLD → QUALITY-WAIT if next session holds
KINGFA ₹6,529.50 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
LCL ₹622.05 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
LUMAXIND ₹5,402.50 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
MANINDS ₹845.80 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
NATIONALUM ₹318.40 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
PFIZER ₹3,810.80 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
RIIL ₹733.40 AVOID → HOLD if next session holds
SANDUMA ₹175.21 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
SARDAEN ₹484.35 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
SKYGOLD ₹1,001.45 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds
STARCEMENT ₹171.54 HOLD → BUY if next session holds
TIIL ₹2,585.30 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
USHAMART ₹482.90 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
VAML ₹359.55 BUY → HOLD if next session holds
VSSL ₹372.30 QUALITY-WAIT → HOLD if next session holds

Reporting today

No tracked name reports today.

Coming up

Source: NSE event calendar, filtered to the 1420 tracked names.

Market Overview

IndexClosePoints ChangeP/EP/B
Nifty 50 22,997.35 ▲ +374.65 ▲ +1.66% 19.65 2.82
Nifty Next 50 68,671.60 ▼ -327.70 ▼ -0.47% 17.97 3.30
Nifty 500 22,180.80 ▲ +142.80 ▲ +0.65% 21.83 3.11
Nifty Bank 55,810.50 ▲ +494.50 ▲ +0.89% 13.20 1.68
NIFTY Midcap 100 59,197.25 ▼ -211.85 ▼ -0.36% 27.84 3.76
▲ 892 advancing ■ 32 unchanged ▼ 1750 declining of 2674 equities, vs the 2026-10-14 close
Cash market, ₹ crore
FII / FPI net
▼ -5,285.37
bought 12,736 · sold 18,021
DII net
▲ +3,319.39
bought 19,439 · sold 16,119
FII / FPI DII
FII / DII daily net cash flow · ₹ crore · scroll to zoom, drag to pan

Source: NSE ind_close_all_20261015 (levels, index P/E and P/B) and the full-market bhavcopy (breadth).

Index P/E from NSE's official daily index file.

Since We Flagged

The desk's track record — every call it has published, scored over the stretch it actually stood: from the close on the day it was made (restated for any split or bonus) to the day the desk changed it, the name left coverage, or today. Each is set against Nifty 500 over the same window. A BUY should beat it; an AVOID should lag it.

CallCallsStanding Median moveMedian vs Nifty 500 Beat Nifty 500
BUY 624 44 ▼ -0.3% ▼ -0.0% 50%
QUALITY-WAIT 489 162 ▼ -2.1% ▼ -1.1% 39%
HOLD 1759 839 ▼ -1.6% ▼ -0.2% 48%
AVOID 848 359 ▼ -1.0% ▼ -0.5% 46%
CompanyCalled sinceCall Previous callAt callNow Movevs Nifty 500
Raymond LtdRAYMOND Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹625.00 ₹1,142.10 ▲ +82.7% ▲ +88.2%
Oriental Aromatics LtdOAL Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹341.95 ₹579.15 ▲ +69.4% ▲ +74.9%
MV Electrosystems LtdMVELECTRO Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹574.10 ₹956.60 ▲ +66.6% ▲ +72.1%
SBC Exports LtdSBC Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹38.66 ₹64.21 ▲ +66.1% ▲ +71.6%
D.P. Abhushan LtdDPABHUSHAN Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹1,457.20 ₹2,392.50 ▲ +64.2% ▲ +69.7%
STL Networks LtdSTLNETWORK Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹25.68 ₹42.00 ▲ +63.6% ▲ +69.1%
Bluspring Enterprises LtdBLUSPRING Tue, 18 Aug 2026 AVOID — ₹111.21 ₹172.68 ▲ +55.3% ▲ +60.8%
Shanti Gold International LtdSHANTIGOLD Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹253.85 ₹390.95 ▲ +54.0% ▲ +59.5%
One Point One Solutions LtdONEPOINT Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹56.25 ₹84.77 ▲ +50.7% ▲ +56.2%
PC Jeweller LtdPCJEWELLER Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹9.62 ₹14.45 ▲ +50.2% ▲ +55.7%
Media Matrix Worldwide LtdMMWL Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹14.91 ₹22.02 ▲ +47.7% ▲ +53.2%
Elitecon International LtdELITECON Tue, 18 Aug 2026 HOLD — ₹17.13 ₹7.09 ▼ -58.6% ▼ -53.1%

3720 calls scored since Wed, 5 Aug 2026: 1404 standing, 1712 closed when the desk changed the call, 604 closed when the name left coverage (at its last published close). 2026 of them are the call a name was given on entering coverage, not one the desk changed to. 1392 more standing calls with history are not shown — this table is the 12 that have moved most against Nifty 500 since they were made. 8 calls published this session are not scored yet — no session to move in. 25 have no cached close at one end of their window and are not scored. 9 entry prices restated for a split or bonus inside the window (marked adj.).

Source: data/archive/<session>.json (every published call) × data/prices/<date>.json × data/market/<date>.json (Nifty 500).

Top Stories

REC's Q1 FY27 loan growth ran near flat, well under its 11-12% guided pace Financial Services

REC's core loan book grew only ~1% YoY and was flat QoQ in Q1 FY27 per DSIJ, with disbursements down 43% YoY, even as the renewable-energy book grew 23% YoY to ₹78,596cr and PAT rose 23% QoQ. This is the first hard loan-growth number to test Morgan Stanley's growth-deceleration downgrade thesis underlying the open ledger claim, though it is a Q1 print (already some months old) rather than a fresh catalyst, and the company's own framing emphasizes the renewable segment's strength.

RECLTD

IRDAI's commission-cap consultation stays open until Oct 25, with Jan 1 or Apr 1 floated as rollout dates Financial Services

IRDAI's 'Recalibrating Economics of Insurance Distribution' paper, proposing to cap first-year distribution commissions at 20-25% stepping down to 12.5% over five years, remains a consultation with industry feedback open until Oct 25, 2026 -- no final regulation yet. The regulator's whole-time member for distribution is reportedly weighing Jan 1 or Apr 1, 2027 as possible implementation dates, which is new specificity but still a consideration, not a decision.

HDFCLIFE · MFSL · LTF

Jana Holdings, JSFB's promoter, downgraded to 'default' and reportedly seeking to sell down its stake Banks

India Ratings downgraded Jana Holdings Ltd bonds to default status after a six-month repayment extension (new deadline Dec 31, 2026), and the firm is reportedly planning to sell ~7% of Jana Small Finance Bank to repay ~₹700cr owed to TPG Asia while exploring a merger with another small finance bank. This is a promoter-level distress signal, not yet a sign of trouble at the bank itself, and comes from a single source.

JSFB
Sources: musaffa.com

Geojit's planned MD succession completed on schedule; Q1 profit still down sharply on cost growth Financial Services

Jones George became MD on Oct 1 as scheduled, succeeding C J George (now Executive Chairman) under a board-approved plan dating to July 22 -- an orderly, long-tenured internal transition rather than a fresh governance flag. Separately, Q1 FY27 PAT fell 28.5% YoY to ₹19.8cr despite 11.4% revenue growth, as employee costs rose 31%, a margin-compression data point still weighing on the pending AVOID->HOLD call.

GEOJITFSL

Zensar's TMT softness looks like an 11-quarter sector trend, not a discrete client-exit event Information Technology

Q1 FY27 results already showed TMT revenue down 28% YoY in constant currency and Healthcare/Life Sciences down 8.7%, with BFS now 48.8% of revenue. An earlier analyst note frames the TMT decline as an 11-consecutive-quarter trend tied to broad client-base softness and a sector-wide capex shift toward GPUs/data centers, rather than named client losses -- a nuance that cuts against (without falsifying) the severity of the open claim's exit-driven framing. Q3 FY27 results, the actual test, are not out yet.

ZENSARTECH

Sector Scorecard

Entry score is 40% cheap-vs-history + 25% quality trend + 15% technicals, renormalised over those three — the 20% news catalyst is not counted because no research was written for this session. It is not treated as neutral; it is absent. ≥62 accumulate · 45–61 watch · <45 avoid.

SectorStanceEntryCheap QualityTechNews IndexIdx P/EB/W/H/A
Information Technology 75 scanned · 14 researched WATCH 61.0 59.8 78.5 35.0 — ▲ +1.82% 19.1 0/10/56/9
Banks 40 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 47.0 39.4 52.3 58.6 — ▲ +0.89% 13.2 1/0/30/9
Pharmaceuticals 88 scanned · 26 researched WATCH 48.8 26.2 71.5 71.4 — ▲ +0.31% 39.9 0/17/58/13
Automobiles 110 scanned · 32 researched WATCH 58.1 46.1 78.4 56.1 — ▲ +1.67% 29.7 11/20/68/11
FMCG 105 scanned · 10 researched WATCH 59.9 59.1 69.0 46.8 — ▼ -1.06% 31.1 0/19/67/19
Metals & Mining 83 scanned · 18 researched WATCH 56.6 49.0 67.5 58.6 — ▲ +0.10% 15.8 6/12/46/19
Realty 38 scanned · 4 researched WATCH 55.5 66.2 52.0 32.7 — ▲ +0.72% 35.1 1/2/14/21
Energy & Power 83 scanned · 13 researched WATCH 55.9 53.6 63.7 48.8 — ▼ -0.79% 14.3 0/7/44/32
Financial Services 150 scanned · 5 ranked elsewhere · 12 researched WATCH 56.7 66.9 44.7 49.5 — ▲ +1.67% 15.5 0/3/96/51
Healthcare & Hospitals 59 scanned · 16 ranked elsewhere · 11 researched WATCH 57.6 46.0 73.0 63.0 — ▲ +0.39% 40.9 4/10/40/5
Hospitality & Tourism 38 scanned · 9 researched ACCUMULATE 64.8 71.2 69.0 40.6 — ▲ +0.68% 85.7 2/6/20/10
Chemicals 102 scanned · 9 researched WATCH 61.6 60.6 67.8 54.0 — — — 2/11/62/27
Construction & Materials 126 scanned · 11 researched ACCUMULATE 62.2 71.2 61.6 39.1 — — — 0/12/72/42
Capital Goods 103 scanned · 19 researched WATCH 54.1 38.9 79.0 53.0 — — — 8/13/63/19
Textiles & Apparel 47 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 57.0 50.0 62.6 66.6 — — — 4/3/26/14
Retail & Consumer 65 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 56.9 50.0 68.4 56.0 — — — 1/11/35/18
Packaging & Plastics 33 scanned · 2 researched WATCH 57.6 48.2 65.3 69.6 — — — 1/5/18/9
Logistics & Transport 26 scanned · 6 researched WATCH 49.8 35.5 69.3 55.3 — — — 0/3/16/7
Telecom & Media 33 scanned · 5 researched WATCH 52.8 50.0 59.8 48.8 — — — 3/2/14/14
Commercial Services 37 scanned · 7 researched WATCH 53.0 53.6 52.5 52.0 — — — 1/2/19/15

Source: data/verdicts.json × NSE sector index closes.

Stocks to Watch

Split evenly across large/mid/small/micro cap so this list isn't one tier's picks — new calls first, then the highest long-term composites within each. Micro-cap names are boxed and flagged Highly Volatile — worth watching, not a call to buy — since their price swings run about twice every other tier's. Each card shows the figures that selected it — open the desk for the full six-lens panel.

P/E in the 6th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 19.2% (up 12.2pt over 5y)
Composite 88.4 Mkt Cap 277,413 cr · Large P/E 124.93 ROCE 19.2% Piotroski 5/9
P/E in the 10th percentile of its own 3-year range · Piotroski 7/9
Composite 88.2 Mkt Cap 57,049 cr · Large P/E 45.46 ROCE 27.3% Piotroski 7/9
new call this session
P/E in the 81th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 14.6% (up 1.6pt over 5y) · Piotroski 8/9
Composite 53.6 Mkt Cap 30,074 cr · Mid P/E 52.79 ROCE 14.6% Piotroski 8/9
unconfirmed: sector
P/E in the 8th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 20.7% (up 31.7pt over 5y) · -26.2% off its 52-week high
Composite 86.9 Mkt Cap 18,448 cr · Mid P/E 25.37 ROCE 20.7% Piotroski 5/9
new call this session
P/E in the 0th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 19.8% (up 0.8pt over 5y) · -38.8% off its 52-week high
Composite 69.5 Mkt Cap 11,655 cr · Small P/E 44.57 ROCE 19.8% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
P/E in the 86th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 26.6% (up 2.6pt over 5y)
Composite 66.3 Mkt Cap 5,592 cr · Small P/E 32.9 ROCE 26.6% Piotroski 6/9
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 19th percentile of its own 3-year range
Composite 74.3 Mkt Cap 1,016 cr · Micro P/E 30.74 ROCE 5.67% Piotroski 3/7
new call this session
Highly Volatile
P/E in the 55th percentile of its own 3-year range · ROCE 9.02% (down 17.0pt over 5y)
Composite 52.5 Mkt Cap 2,117 cr · Micro P/E 27.18 ROCE 9.02% Piotroski 5/9

How We Evaluate

MetricWhy it is in the frameworkSource
Return on capital, level and trendDurable high ROCE predicts future returns; the trend separates a moat from a good year Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Gross profitability (GP/assets)As predictive as book-to-market, and less prone to the value trap Novy-Marx 2013 JFE
Piotroski F-scoreA nine-signal accounting checklist that separates real improvers from statistically cheap traps Piotroski 2000 JAR
Cash-flow-to-net-profitAccrual-heavy profit reverts; cash-backed profit persists Sloan 1996 TAR
P/E versus the stock's own historyCheap relative to itself, not to a peer set that may be expensive as a whole Basu 1977 JF
Book-to-marketThe value premium, in its original form Fama–French 1992 JF
EV/EBITDACapital-structure-neutral, so it compares a leveraged firm to an unleveraged one Practitioner standard
Altman Z and interest coverageDistressed firms have delivered lower, not higher, returns — screen them out rather than chase them Altman 1968 JF; Campbell/Hilscher/Szilagyi 2008 JF
52-week-high proximity, 200-DMANearness to the high has predicted continuation — but momentum crashes, so never alone George & Hwang 2004 JF; Daniel & Moskowitz 2016 JFE
Promoter pledgePledged promoter holding is a governance red flag ahead of a forced sale Not currently available from either source — no penalty is applied

Full derivation in METHODOLOGY.md.